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NYFCC AWARDS

2017 New York Film Critics Circle winners announced: See the full list.

watch Live Now Online Streaming 2017

The NYFCC’s historical bellwether rate for determining Oscar’s best picture is over 40%. Even when they’re off, they’re often spot-on in other categories: two years ago, they gave Mark Rylance best supporting actor for Steven Spielberg’s Bridge of Spies when no one saw that win coming at the Oscars..

Last year, the NYFCC voted for what everyone — including Faye Dunaway — thought would win best picture: La La Land. Other categories in which the Oscars lined up with NYFCC in 2016: best actor (Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea), best supporting actor (Mahershala Ali, Moonlight), animated feature film (Zootopia), best screenplay (Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea) and documentary (O.J.: Made in America).

After 3 1/2 hours of deliberation, the New York Film Critics Circle selected Greta Gerwig’s Lady Bird as its best picture. In addition, the pic took best actress for Saoirse Ronan’s turn as a Sacramento high school senior looking to escape the confines of her northern California hometown.

New York Film Critics Circle Awards 2017

The New York Film Critics’ Circle is so determined to be one of the first groups to weigh in with its picks for the best of the year that the date of its decision-making keeps getting advanced; it will be on Nov. 30 this year. But how much influence does it have on the last group to be heard from — the motion picture academy which will reveal the Oscar winners 95 days from now on March 4, 2018?

Let’s take a look back at the last six years of the Gotham critics picks and see how well (or not), these early kudos previewed the Academy Awards. Last year, “La La Land” was named Best Picture by the New York Film Critics Circle. That was its only prize from the Gotham scribes, who also showered love on two other strong Oscar contenders, “Manchester by the Sea” and “Moonlight.”